Palantir: Ready for an IPO?
February 6, 2019

Palantir: Ready for an IPO?

2018 has been a great year for IPOs and we believe the same for 2019. Several large unicorns, including Palantir, plan to go public next year. Having operated as private firms for several years, these companies focused on growth, not profitability. However, investors increasingly want to see a path to profits for these large, late stage companies. Evidence suggests Palantir could be profitable by its IPO as the company continues to shift its revenue from government services to enterprise subscriptions.

Palantir’s reported IPO in 2019 has attracted a great deal of attention. The company is believed to be profitable next year, according to the CEO, Alex Karp, and is in talks with investment banks on a planned public offering. Over the past year, Palantir has seen a range of valuations ranging from $20 billion to most recently $41 billion.

If Palantir goes public in 2019, potential public investors will likely calculate the company’s enterprise value based on a blended average of 2019 and 2020 financial estimates. We realize there are a lot of “ifs” in this scenario. However, using publicly available information and applying reasonable growth rates to Palantir’s bookings and net revenue ratio, we believe Palantir’s revenue could hit $2.2 billion in 2019 and $3.0 billion in 2020, expanding at an annual pace of 30 percent. Based on our revenue estimates and a 6-7x EV multiple estimate, we believe Palantir could be valued at $20 billion, in line with the current private valuation. And, it has the potential to go higher if it continues to improve its bookings-to-revenue conversion coupled with its ongoing shift towards a more enterprise SaaS revenue model.

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This article does not constitute an offer to provide investment advice or service. Registered representatives of SharesPost Financial Corporation do not (1) advise any member on the merits or prudence of a particular investment or transaction, or (2) assist in the determination of fair value of any security or investment, or (3) provide legal, tax, or transactional advisory services.

Securities referenced in this article may be offered by SharesPost Financial Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc. Certain affiliates of these entities may act as principals in such transactions.

Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors. An investment in private company securities is highly speculative, involving a high degree of risk, and investors should be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities. Each investment also carries its own specific risks and investors should conduct their own, independent due diligence regarding the investment, including obtaining additional information about the company, opinions, financial projections and legal or investment advice.

Accordingly, investing in private company securities is appropriate only for those investors who can tolerate a high degree of risk and do not require a liquid investment.

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Copyright SharesPost, Inc. 2020. All rights reserved.

PLEASE READ THESE IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICES & DISCLOSURES

This article does not constitute an offer to provide investment advice or service. Registered representatives of SharesPost Financial Corporation do not (1) advise any member on the merits or prudence of a particular investment or transaction, or (2) assist in the determination of fair value of any security or investment, or (3) provide legal, tax, or transactional advisory services.

Securities referenced in this article may be offered by SharesPost Financial Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc. Certain affiliates of these entities may act as principals in such transactions.

Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors. An investment in private company securities is highly speculative, involving a high degree of risk, and investors should be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities. Each investment also carries its own specific risks and investors should conduct their own, independent due diligence regarding the investment, including obtaining additional information about the company, opinions, financial projections and legal or investment advice.

Accordingly, investing in private company securities is appropriate only for those investors who can tolerate a high degree of risk and do not require a liquid investment.

SharesPost, the SharesPost logo, My SharesPost, the SharesPost Index, and SharesPost Investment Management are all registered trademarks of SharesPost, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright SharesPost, Inc. 2020. All rights reserved.