Private Growth Index Reports 10.9% Q/Q growth for 2018 Q4, outperforming S&P 500
April 15, 2019 | Blog

Private Growth Index Reports 10.9% Q/Q growth for 2018 Q4, outperforming S&P 500

In the fourth quarter of 2018, the SharesPost Private Growth Index, which tracks valuations for 106 private growth firms, increased by 10.9 percent to 168.18 from 152.47 from the previous quarter. By comparison, the S&P 500 was down 14.3 percent and the Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index was down 17.9 percent during the same period. Private asset growth significantly outperformed public indexes in Q4 2018 as December represented one of the worst months in recent history for major public indices.

Since its launch on January 1st, 2017, the SharesPost Index has increased 68.18% percent through December 31, 2018. By comparison, S&P 500 has increased 11.97 percent whereas the Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index has increased 32.87 percent during the same period.

For the current year 2018, the SharesPost Index has increased 41.9 percent from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018. By comparison, both S&P 500 and Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index decreased by 6.2 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively.

On a cumulative basis, from January 1, 2015 to June 30, 2018, the SharesPost index increased approximately 188.1 percent; the S&P 500 rose 21.8 percent and the Dow Jones index increased 53.4 percent.

The cumulative implied valuation of the 106 private growth companies included in the Index has increased from $374 billion as of previous quarter to $389 billion at the end of fourth quarter of 2018. The median implied valuation of the 106 companies included in the Index has risen from $1.23 billion to $1.38 billion during the 4th quarter of 2018.

Public markets softened and became more volatile in Q4 of 2018. December was one of the worst months in recent history for S&P 500. Yet, IPO outlook for 2019 remains bright.

Q4:2018 SharesPost Private Growth Index Performance Drivers

The key events affecting the Index performance during the second quarter of 2018 were:

(+) Upside drivers: Primary funding rounds during this period included, Instacart (Series F), Chargepoint (Series H), Coinbase(Series E), Auris Health (Series D-1), Netskope (Series F), InVision (Series F) and Snowflake(Series F).

On average, the valuation of the companies that completed a primary funding round during Q4:2018 increased by 148 percent.

There were two Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) during Q4:2018: Guardant Health (NAS:GH) and Anaplan (NYS:PLAN).

(-) Downside drivers: We did not track any notable down round funding’s during Q4:2018.

Among the index companies, there have been a total of 14 exits YTD through December 31, 2018 either via an IPO or M&A, averaging at about 1.16 exits per month.

Preliminary Q1:2019 trends indicate continued outperformance of SharesPost Private Growth Index

As of Feb 28, 2019, our preliminary data indicates that the Index has increased 11 percent compared to 4.2 percent increase in the S&P 500 and a 12.4 percent increase in the Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index for YTD 2018. Key contributors to performance include companies that completed primary funding rounds i.e. Postmates (Series F), SpaceX (Series J), DoorDash (Series F), Illumio (Series E), Databricks (Series E), Rubrik (Series E), Reddit (Series D), Desktop Metal (Series E).

PLEASE READ THESE IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICES & DISCLOSURES

CONFLICTS

This report is being published by SharesPost Research LLC, and distributed by SharesPost Financial Corporation, a member of FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Research LLC, SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management, LLC, an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission, are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc.

Recipients who are not market professionals or clients of SharesPost Financial Corporation should seek the advice of their own personal financial advisors before making any investment decisions based on this report. None of the information contained in this report represents an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any security, and no buy or sell recommendation should be implied, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or governmental jurisdiction in which said offer, solicitation, or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.

This report does not constitute an offer to provide investment advice or service. Registered representatives of SharesPost Financial Corporation do not (1) advise any member on the merits or advisability of a particular investment or transaction, or (2) assist in the determination of fair value of any security or investment, or (3) provide legal, tax, or transactional advisory services.

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

The analyst(s) certifies that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of such analyst(s) about any and all of the subject securities or issuers, and that no part of such analyst compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly related to the specific views contained in this report.

Analyst compensation is based upon various factors, including the overall performance of SharesPost, Inc. and its subsidiaries, and the performance and productivity of such analyst, including feedback from clients of SharesPost Financial Corporation and other stakeholders in our ecosystem, the quality of such analyst’s research and the analyst’s contribution to the growth and development of our overall research effort. Analyst compensation is derived from all revenue sources of SharesPost, Inc., including brokerage sales.

DISCLAIMER

This report does not contain a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any issuer, industry, or security. The opinions expressed in this report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of all such information.

Any securities offered are offered by SharesPost Financial Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc. Certain affiliates of these entities may act as principals in such transactions.

Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors. An investment in private company securities is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. It should only be considered as a long-term investment. You must be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities. Each investment also carries its own specific risks and you should complete your own independent due diligence regarding the investment, including obtaining additional information about the company, opinions, financial projections and legal or other investment advice.

Accordingly, investing in private company securities is appropriate only for those investors who can tolerate a high degree of risk and do not require a liquid investment.

SharesPost, the SharesPost logo, My SharesPost, the SharesPost Index, and SharesPost Investment Management are all registered trademarks of SharesPost, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright SharesPost, Inc. 2019. All rights reserved.

Alejandro Ortiz

Alejandro Ortiz

Alejandro is a Research Analyst, Private Investment Research for SharesPost Research LLC. Prior to joining SharesPost, he was a Valuation Analyst at Duff & Phelps with a focus on TMT industries.
PLEASE READ THESE IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICES & DISCLOSURES

CONFLICTS

This report is being published by SharesPost Research LLC, and distributed by SharesPost Financial Corporation, a member of FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Research LLC, SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management, LLC, an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission, are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc.

Recipients who are not market professionals or clients of SharesPost Financial Corporation should seek the advice of their own personal financial advisors before making any investment decisions based on this report. None of the information contained in this report represents an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any security, and no buy or sell recommendation should be implied, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or governmental jurisdiction in which said offer, solicitation, or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.

This report does not constitute an offer to provide investment advice or service. Registered representatives of SharesPost Financial Corporation do not (1) advise any member on the merits or advisability of a particular investment or transaction, or (2) assist in the determination of fair value of any security or investment, or (3) provide legal, tax, or transactional advisory services.

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

The analyst(s) certifies that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of such analyst(s) about any and all of the subject securities or issuers, and that no part of such analyst compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly related to the specific views contained in this report.

Analyst compensation is based upon various factors, including the overall performance of SharesPost, Inc. and its subsidiaries, and the performance and productivity of such analyst, including feedback from clients of SharesPost Financial Corporation and other stakeholders in our ecosystem, the quality of such analyst’s research and the analyst’s contribution to the growth and development of our overall research effort. Analyst compensation is derived from all revenue sources of SharesPost, Inc., including brokerage sales.

DISCLAIMER

This report does not contain a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any issuer, industry, or security. The opinions expressed in this report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of all such information.

Any securities offered are offered by SharesPost Financial Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. SharesPost Financial Corporation and SP Investments Management are wholly owned subsidiaries of SharesPost, Inc. Certain affiliates of these entities may act as principals in such transactions.

Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors. An investment in private company securities is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. It should only be considered as a long-term investment. You must be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities. Each investment also carries its own specific risks and you should complete your own independent due diligence regarding the investment, including obtaining additional information about the company, opinions, financial projections and legal or other investment advice.

Accordingly, investing in private company securities is appropriate only for those investors who can tolerate a high degree of risk and do not require a liquid investment.

SharesPost, the SharesPost logo, My SharesPost, the SharesPost Index, and SharesPost Investment Management are all registered trademarks of SharesPost, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright SharesPost, Inc. 2019. All rights reserved.